We thought part of the problem might be that I used the standard YPS medium which is based on modest concentrations of yeast extract and peptone. The clearest/most-recent published demonstration that GTA-producing cultures used RCV, a simpler 'defined' medium based on malate, and showed that the apparent lysis occurred in medium with 0.5 mM PO4 but not in medium with 10 mM PO4.
So I redid the growth curves for all 6 strains, using both high-P and low-P versions of RCV (kindly supplied by my upstairs colleague). The results are not inconsistent with the Westbye results, but they're not at all compelling. None of the strains decreases in OD600
The problem is that there's quite a bit of between-strain variation in growth and in the stability of the stationary phase OD. (Within each strain the replicate wells give very similar results, with one exception.)
The graph below shows growth in the high-phosphate medium. The main graph shows OD600 on a log scale (appropriate to exponential growth), and all the strains appear to stably reach similar densities. But the inset shows the same data on a linear scale, which makes the variation look more significant. The overproducer strain stops growing abruptly at OD600 = 0.7 a lower density than the other strains.
I really don't feel comfortable drawing any solid conclusions from this one experiment, especially since there's a blip in many of the growth curves at a point where I stopped and restarted the runs to add more time when I realized that 3 days wasn't going to be long enough. Even though the shaking only stopped for 2-3 minutes, and the trays of cells remained in their holder with the lid closed, most of the strains had an abrupt change in OD600. (You can see the blips at hour 63.)
Plan: Do the run again. This time I'll pre-grow the cells into log phase in high-P and low-P RCV. medium (the upstairs colleague has offered me enough medium to do this). And I'll plan on pausing the run at key times to take samples that I can assay for GTA production.